Per-forge probability by crucible size N without RNG lock. The Straight Sword class curve peaks at N=12 on the gaussian weight table; Seraph's Reply takes 27.8% of the Straight Sword variant roll at Crimson Sakura Isles. With RNG Lock at N≥15 the orange class line becomes a flat 100%.
Expected forges — with & without RNG lock
Ores (N)
P(Seraph's Reply) no lock
Expected forges
With RNG lock
9
8.9%
~1 in 12
needs 15 ores
15
6.4%
~1 in 16
~1 in 4 locked
20
2.9%
~1 in 35
~1 in 4 locked
55
0.0%
~1 in 46,141,015,738
~1 in 4 locked
"Expected forges" = 1 ÷ combined probability of rolling the class and this
variant. RNG lock removes the class roll once N ≥ 15,
leaving only the 27.8% variant roll.
Top 3 ore recipes for Seraph's Reply
Solved at the Crimson Sakura Isles anvil with RNG lock targeting the Straight Sword class — BiS god-roll, clean zero-waste split, and a no-raid farmable fallback.
Same-class alternatives at an identical 26.69x multiplier, quality
100, no traits or runes — pure damage ÷ true swing speed.
Frequently asked questions
How many ores do you need to RNG-lock Seraph's Reply in The Forge?+
Seraph's Reply is a Straight Sword: its class roll RNG-locks at 15 ores, its recommended crucible is 9 and its absolute minimum is 7. At 15+ ores only the variant roll remains — about ~1 in 4.
What is the best ore recipe for Seraph's Reply?+
The solver's BiS recipe is 6× Supermassive Black Hole + 6× Extinctionite + 6× Kitsunite + 2× Frost Star — 26.69x multiplier, 27.8% per forge at Crimson Sakura Isles. See the recipe cards above to load it directly.
How fast is Seraph's Reply really?+
The tooltip lists 0.87s but the real swing is 1.105s — listed speeds under-report. True DPS on this page is computed against the 1.105s figure, the same one the game engine uses.
Is Seraph's Reply worth forging?+
Seraph's Reply is a A-tier Straight Sword with 22 base damage and 3 rune slots. With RNG lock it lands in ~4 forges on average — check the comparison table for where it sits inside Straight Sword.